Self-confirming Games: Unawareness, Discovery, and Equilibrium

Equilibrium notions for games with unawareness in the literature cannot be interpreted as steadystates of a learning process because players may discover novel actions during play. In this sense, many games with unawareness are “self-destroying” as a player’s representation of the game must change after playing it once. We define discovery processes where at each state there is an extensiveform game with unawareness that together with the players’ play determines the transition to possibly another extensive-form games with unawareness in which players are now aware of actions that they have previously discovered. A discovery process is rationalizable if players play extensiveform rationalizable strategies in each game with unawareness. We show that for any game with unawareness there is a rationalizable discovery process that leads to a self-confirming game that possesses an extensive-form rationalizable self-confirming equilibrium. This notion of equilibrium can be interpreted as steady-state of a learning and discovery process.